My View: Keys to Ron Paul Victory (Fw)

[tracysaboe]

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Dear Friends,

     From my perspective (and I am not affiliated with the campaign in any
way, just an outside observer), the Ron Paul for President campaign has
several things going for it off the bat.

? Sam Brownback will take votes away from Mitt Romney and vice-a-versa;
? John McCain will take votes away from Rudy Giuliani and vice-a-versa;
? Unless Chuck Hagel enters, there will be no one taking votes away from
   Ron Paul, which means his numbers will only go up;
? The Internet is the most libertarian thing on the planet; libertarians reign
   supreme on the Internet; this combined with what Howard Dean did in '03
   and '04 provides no reason the same thing can't be done in the '07-'08
   GOP primary, this time for Ron Paul;
? Ron has already received pledges of several million dollars from supporters;
? If Tom Vilsack continues his bid for the Presidency, which I believe will
   be the case until at least February 2008, then the Iowa Caucus will be
   void; this is excellent, as Iowa is not a stronghold for us;
? The first official primary is in New Hampshire, a libertarian stronghold;
? The second official primary is in South Carolina, whose Governor is very
   likely to support Ron Paul for President;
? The key date is February 5, 2008. That's when the Republican nominee
   will be determined.

     Internet activism, grassroots "in person" activism, campaign contributions,
and emphasis on building organizations in Iowa, New Hampshire, South
Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri, North Dakota, Arizona, Delaware,
New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Utah, California, Florida,
and Michigan are the keys to this campaign. Utilizing "open" primaries will,
without a doubt, benefit Ron Paul more than other Republican candidates.
Ron Paul is likely to attract not only Independents and Libertarians, but also
those from the Constitution Party and, to a lesser extent, registered Democrats.
In the afore mentioned states that have closed primaries (see below), we must
get the message out: You must register as a Republican in advance if you're
planning to vote for Ron Paul.

     Here is the important primary schedule. Look closely at open versues closed.
That is the key to our success.

-------------------------------------------------------------
Republican primaries and caucuses
-------------------------------------------------------------
January 21, 2008 - Iowa caucus
January 28, 2008 - New Hampshire primary -- you must be registered
Republican if you intend to vote for Ron Paul (closed primary)
February 2, 2008 - South Carolina (open primary)
February 5, 2008 - Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri, North Dakota (open
primaries)

February 5, 2008 - Arizona, Delaware, New Jersey, New Mexico, North
Carolina, Oklahoma, Utah  -- you must be registered Republican if you
intend to vote for Ron Paul (closed primaries)
February 5, 2008 (unofficial date) - California, Florida, Michigan
February 12, 2008 - Tennessee (open primary)

February 9 or February 16, 2008 (date to be determined) - Louisiana
(open primary)

February 19, 2008 - Minnesota, Wisconsin (open primary)

February 26, 2008 (unofficial date) - Virginia (open primary)

March 4, 2008 - Georgia, Ohio, Texas, Vermont (open primaries)
March 4, 2008 - Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts,
New York, Rhode Island (closed primaries)

March 4, 2008 (unofficial date) - Pennsylvania (closed)
March 11, 2008 - Mississippi, Washington (open)
March 18, 2008 - Illinois (open primary)
April 15, 2008 - Colorado (closed primary)
April 26, 2008 - Kansas, Nevada (closed primary)
May 2008 (date to be determined) - Alaska (closed)
May 6, 2008 - Indiana (open primary)
May 10, 2008 - Wyoming (closed primary)
May 13, 2008 - Nebraska (closed primary)
May 20, 2008 - Kentucky, Oregon (closed primary)
May 27, 2008 - Idaho  (open primary)
June 3, 2008 - South Dakota  (open primary)
June 6, 2008 - Hawaii  (open primary)
June 9, 2008 - Montana (open primary)
-------------------------------------------------------------

    Feel free to forward this message.

    --Aaron
      Director of Chapter Development,
      Republican Liberty Caucus USA
      www.RLC.org
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Tracy

[Rosie the Riveter]

Please remember in NH you can register at the polls.

If you are a registered independant you may vote in the republican or democrat primary. You do become a "member" of that party by taking a ballot in the primary. If you want to remain a registered independant remember to switch back to independant on your way out by fillin' out a little card.

I know I'll be sure to vote for Ron Paul in the primary --

[Dreepa]

yeah that makes me question the rest of the info.
NH is NOT a closed primary.
Also the date is not set yet.

Tracy is that on the RLC site?  ed -- I couldn't find it.

I will email him.  --ed don't know his email address.

[AlanM]

yeah that makes me question the rest of the info.
NH is NOT a closed primary.
Also the date is not set yet.

Tracy is that on the RLC site?  ed -- I couldn't find it.

I will email him.  --ed don't know his email address.

It is closed to the extent that Democrats cannot vote in the Republican primary, and vice versa.

[Dreepa]

It is closed to the extent that Democrats cannot vote in the Republican primary, and vice versa.

Then maybe we are talking semantics because you can quickly and easily 'become' a Republican for 30 seconds and then go back to being a Democrat.

[AlanM]

It is closed to the extent that Democrats cannot vote in the Republican primary, and vice versa.

Then maybe we are talking semantics because you can quickly and easily 'become' a Republican for 30 seconds and then go back to being a Democrat.

I believe you have to change your registration (Rep to Dem, Dem to Rep) 30 days before the primary. Ind. can simply declare at the polls and then change back after voting.

[Pat McCotter]

Undeclared - as NH calls us - can do this while affiliated cannot.

As an aside there is a bill before this year's house to undo this.
http://www.gencourt.state.nh.us/legislation/2007/hb0196.html

[Dreepa]

It is closed to the extent that Democrats cannot vote in the Republican primary, and vice versa.

Then maybe we are talking semantics because you can quickly and easily 'become' a Republican for 30 seconds and then go back to being a Democrat.

I believe you have to change your registration (Rep to Dem, Dem to Rep) 30 days before the primary. Ind. can simply declare at the polls and then change back after voting.

AH maybe that is my confusion.. being and Ind (or undeclared).

[tracysaboe]

It was an e-mail he mailed to the Ron Paul for President yahoo group.

Tracy

[Rosie the Riveter]

Undeclared - as NH calls us - can do this while affiliated cannot.

As an aside there is a bill before this year's house to undo this.
http://www.gencourt.state.nh.us/legislation/2007/hb0196.html

Damn it!! Why'd someone have to go and propose such a thing --- Now I'd better go call my reps --

[FrankChodorov]

If Tom Vilsack continues his bid for the Presidency, which I believe will
   be the case until at least February 2008, then the Iowa Caucus will be
   void; this is excellent, as Iowa is not a stronghold for us;

are you saying the Iowa caucus is somehow non-partisan?

Vilsack is a democrat...

[tracysaboe]

I don't understand that part of it either.

Tracy

[joeyforpresident]

Since Vilsack is a Democrat from Iowa (the former Gov), the thinking goes that he's got "home-field advantage."

Many Democrats are going to still make a play for Iowa, but they have to contend with Vilsack garnering a lot of support. Ron Paul wouldn't fare well in Iowa, considering it's a subsidy-laden state.

[FrankChodorov]

Since Vilsack is a Democrat from Iowa (the former Gov), the thinking goes that he's got "home-field advantage."

Many Democrats are going to still make a play for Iowa, but they have to contend with Vilsack garnering a lot of support. Ron Paul wouldn't fare well in Iowa, considering it's a subsidy-laden state.

are you saying that Iowa is an one great, big, open caucus state?

if not then what does it matter whether or not Vilsack is in the race?